Monday, December 30, 2013

The Science of Demand (21) - Unofficial Translation of Steven Cheung's 经济解释 - 科学说需求


The word “utility” is commonly used in Western economics. Its usual translation in China, more like “effectiveness” which seems so realistic as if it does exist in the real world, is somewhat misleading. Never has Chinese culture this utility concept, it is therefore understandable why a proper translation may not exist. Nevertheless, without a proper translation is not that important, since for more than a century Western economists are not too sure what utility is, either. Passed on from older generations, they assume that they understand, yet they do not in fact. It was only until the mid-twentieth century that Western economics could provide a clear definition of utility. Even so, many economists until today are still unsure of its correct definition. There is no lack of bright people among these scholars, so it is unlikely due to stupidity. They are reluctant to know: if they understand and concur with the utility concept in this chapter, they will lose the ability to improve the society and, like myself, become small potatoes.


In 1789 and 1802, British economic philosopher, Jeremy Bentham (1748 – 1832), put forward the concept of utility which has broadly influenced later generations. Bentham’s original conception was threefold. First, utility is an index representing happiness or enjoyment. Second, every individual strives to attain the highest index. This index helps to express the selfish postulate in a mathematical manner, and when calculus was subsequently introduced to economics, the utility function became vastly popular. The utility function is still prevalent in economics today. This is not because of any indispensable explanatory usage of the utility function, but that it can be conveniently applied to mathematics. People who are adept at mathematics can easily write a good number of articles.

Bentham’s third conception was that when a person’s income increases, the marginal utility of his income will decrease. He then assumed the degree of enjoyment of every individual is the same regardless of the level of income, hence the marginal utility of income of the rich is low, while the marginal utility of income of the poor is high. The society as a whole enjoys the highest welfare when everyone’s income is identical. This is the theoretical basis of egalitarianism, as well as the predecessor of welfare economics that still exists today.

It is highly questionable whether a person’s increased income will lead to a decline in his marginal utility of income. What contemporary economists unanimously agree to, however, is that utility indices cannot be compared among different individuals. The importance of one dollar to a wealthy person might be much higher than that to a beggar on the street. On this point alone, welfare economics is highly problematic. In 1950, Paul Samuelson (1915 – 2009) pointed out in an abstruse article that irrespective of any increase in national income of an economy, as long as the incomes of some people (or even one person) are reduced, economics cannot confirm that social welfare has improved.

As he himself also professed, Samuelson is the primary persona of welfare economics. Why even today are there so many practitioners of welfare economics? I believe there are two reasons. First, as mentioned earlier, economists believe they have the ability to improve the society. Second, economists have to improve their own welfare: being economic advisers of the government can increase their own incomes. In fact, governments are generally liberal in passing taxpayers’ money to economists: in implementing policies for the self-interest of government officials, it is always preferable having the assent of economists.

From a scientific viewpoint, the most fatal problem of utility is Bentham’s first conception that utility is a happiness index. If one is not a fish, how can one know what makes a fish happy? How can one know whether I am happy, or whether I am happier today than yesterday? Overthrowing an empire is easier than changing a person’s character. Some economists always believe they have God’s extraordinary abilities. Even today, some people still to a certain extent consider utility as a happiness index.

In 1915, a self-taught Russian economist, Eugen Slutsky (1880 – 1948), published in Italian a weighty article. After his death, this article was translated in 1952 into English. A key contribution of this vital article was indicating that if we were to use utility to explain human behavior, the utility concept had to be detached from subjective happiness or enjoyment. Had it not? To explain behavior, we need to predict human choices, or how human choices will change under different circumstances. It is irrelevant and entirely insignificant whether human choices hinge upon augmenting happiness.

After Bentham, almost all notable and gifted economists got involved in the research of the utility theory. Sadly though, the work of all these talents only resulted in a history of blood and tears. In 1950, Stigler published a long article entitled “The Development of Utility Theory”, tracing the history of thought of the utility theory over more than a century with incredible insight and striking literary grace. In his conclusion, Stigler could not help abusing: he felt that economists were not keen on testing theories, hence despite the mammoth efforts of so many masters on the utility theory, the resultant contribution toward explaining human behavior was only negligible!

I like very much a passage in the concluding section of Stigler’s article. In 1968, I asked Stigler to write it down on paper for me to put beside my desk as an epigram for my research. The ink has since faded, but the manuscript is still with me. For readers to appreciate the penmanship and literary grace of this twentieth century’s talent, that passage is reprinted below:

“The criterion of congruence with reality should have been sharpened – sharpened into the insistence that theories be examined for their implications for observable behavior. Not only were such implications not sought and tested, but there was a tendency, when there appeared to be a threat of an empirical test, to reformulate the theory to make the test ineffective. Economists did not anxiously seek the challenge of the facts.”
George J. Stigler

<INSERT HANDWRITTEN PASSAGE>

In any event, given that the utility theory is still popular today, I have to elaborate more on its main point.

In 1972, I published an article about the phenomena of “blind marriage” and “daughter-in-law raised from childhood” in traditional Chinese marriage. In the last section I vigorously criticized the utility theory, saying that it could be banned due to its limited application. The British Economic Journal was eager to publish that article, but asked for a reduction of five pages. I therefore simply deleted the last section. After the article had gone public, two masters in the profession wrote to me to condemn that I should not have deleted what they considered were the most important section. The draft of that section has never been located since.

The principal reason of my opposition to the utility theory is that “utility”, merely a concept envisaged by economists, is non-factual but a castle in the air. It is neither visible nor touchable, and does not exist in the real world. Consequently, it is not only difficult to derive implications that are refutable by facts, but pitfalls are aplenty. Since tautological statements tend to be unwittingly formulated, people are likely to be swindled.

At that time Coase sided with me, while on the other side were three people I admire: Friedman, Becker, and my teacher Alchian. They would rather hold on to the utility theory since certain economic goods – such as friendship, reputation, family fun, etc. – could not be pecuniarily measured. Their consideration was that since those goods were not measurable by money, they had to be measured by “utility”. I will explain why I cannot concur with the viewpoints of these three mentors, but let me first elucidate the “utility” concept as it is commonly agreed.


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